NFL preseason probabilities are now out and there are lots of possible surprises both positive and negative for football gambling oddsmakers to try and make the most of for 2010 when you bet on the NFL. 
NFL preseason probabilities will showcase odds that are based in big part on last year’s results as that is the direction that the football gambling public tends to go.
A solid way to evaluate the pre season and odds board is to take a look at last year’s surprise squads, both positive and negative, and anticipate something similar to a stock market correction for 2010.
A great case in point of this could be the New York Jets, who were provided no possibility to contend in 2009 as they were rebuilding with a rookie quarterback and new coach and still they made it to the AFC championship game and almost won it.
Their board value will be depleted now that the Jets are being touted as a leading contender at the sportsbook to win the Super Bowl. Beyond that, their competitors will take them seriously this year which means that there will be less of a shocking and upset element. Going “all in” with the Jets ought to almost certainly be avoided by gamblers.
Two squads that were really touted in 2009 that went down were the Chicago Bears and New York Giants. The fact that they did not live up to anticipations last year means that the public will be off of them for the most part, at least in early stages, and that can mean enhanced board value.
The Giants are still a threatening team with Eli Manning at quarterback and did some great re-tooling in the off season, especially on defense. The Bears have got new coordinators on both sides of the line and Jay Cutler ought to be less error-prone in his second year as signal caller. Before being traded to the Bears in 2009, Cutler spent his first 3 seasons in pro football with the denver broncos. He was brought in to a 2-year contract valued at $30 million. He was beginning to shape up by the end of the season although he was the subject of both praise and criticism throughout his first season with the Bears. It remains to be seen if he will get into a groove with the team and boosts their probabilities at the sportsbook.
The San Diego Chargers have had the great fortune with the football probabilities to be in the terrible AFC West but they’ve failed to live up to anticipations as a championship team. San Diego is again liked to win the division but might prove to be an overlay as Kansas City has improved and Denver was in the race for much of last year.
The Bengals rallied to win the AFC North and make the playoffs for the first time in 5 years. But the Cincinnati Bengals still have difficulties at quarterback and their division rivals from Baltimore are better which means that the Cincinnati Bengals might go back down as an overvalued stock with the NFL preseason probabilities for 2010.
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