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When you bet NFL preseason odds, are tendencies helpful? Which tendencies can be worth thinking about for NFL preseason wagering?



As you get ready to bet preseason competitions for 2010, here are some statistics in sports forecasting to consider.

NFL preseason odds start with the Hall of Fame Game which is an additional game for both Dallas and Cincinnati. Every other NFL squad will play 4 while they will play five preseason competitions. The Hall of Fame Game is a neutral site game so many tendencies do not apply to that game. The first week of the preseason is where it is possible to begin thinking about home and away tendencies.

You would think that home teams might win more usually versus the NFL preseason odds than road teams, yet you would be wrong in that assumption. Home teams actually do not win more often than road teams. In fact, they’re not a quality bet whatsoever when setting points in NFL preseason wagering. It is possible to close to do well enough wagering against home faves to earn cash on a regular basis in the preseason. Road longshots are at about 54% versus the spread the past decade. When you examine this number a little further another trend comes into play. Several times when you look into a big home favorite you think they do very well. That isn’t the situation in the preseason. Huge preseason home faves are a pretty weak bet against the point spread. They lose versus the number about 60% of the time. Covering a big number is challenging to do since in the preseason the starters hardly ever play the whole game.

Why not consider taking a squad at home when they’re an long shot in the preseason? This is one trend that has worked over the past decade and one that is sensible. When a squad is gaining points at home in the preseason they have been sound versus the point spread, winning over 60% of the time. It genuinely hasn’t made a difference how many points a squad is gaining at home. Small home dogs and huge home dogs have done just as nicely. This is sensible since a lot of times in the preseason the points are the way to go. Home teams do not do well as faves but as longshots they have been a profitable bet in the preseason.

Nearly all NFL squads will compete in back-to-back road games at some time during the season, and often 2 or three times. Sometimes you will even see a squad play three road competitions in a row, especially if there is conflicting use of the stadium, such as if it’s shared with a baseball squad. You should look at the previous road game to determine how to bet on the next when that happens. If a squad lost on the road in its last game, it’s got a much better than average chance to win the next one.

It’s not a excellent idea to without consideration wager on tendencies or angles, but you do not want to neglect them entirely either. When you bet on road games this season, take these facts under consideration.


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