March Madness Gambling – Secrets for Selecting Round 1 Winners

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The NCAA Championship is almost here and it’ll be time for you to pick winners in March Madness betting.



What should you watch for in the first round when you are selecting games? Let’s consider each of the first round competitions in March Madness probabilities and a couple of things to keep in mind.
1v16
A number one seed has never lost to a number 16 seed outright. The typical margin of victory is 25.3 points per game. You might trust that a #16 seed covers but it’s difficult to argue on their behalf.

2v15
Once in a while a 2 seed will lose in this match but it has just occurred 4 times in NCAA Tournament history. The standard margin of victory is 16.8 points per game. A #15 seed almost won last year but Robert Morris lost in overtime to Villanova.

3v14
The number three seeds win about 84% of the time, though upsets can transpire in this match. The average margin of victory is down to 11.2 points per game. Georgetown was beaten last year as a number three seed.
4v13
The number 4 seeds are almost as great as the three seeds. They win by an average of 9.2 points per game. That does not mean 13 seeds can not win in March Madness probabilities. A year ago Murray State beat Vanderbilt and 2 years ago it was Cleveland State beating Wake Forest. Three years ago 2 number 13 seeds were victorious.
5v12
This is the match where the longshot has done very well. The average margin of victory for the number 5 seed is only 4.8 points per game. In the last nine years the 5 seeds are only 23-17. The community has caught on to this trend but at least one upset still happens nearly each year.
6v11
6 seeds are almost as great as 5 seeds. They’re 22-10 over the last seven years and that is a lot better than the figures for 5 seeds.
7v10
This is genuinely a toss-up game in March Madness betting at the sportsbook with the average margin of victory for seven seeds at only 2.5 points per game. Since 2007 the seven seeds are only 9-7.
8v9
This match is about as even as it can be and in fact the nine seed has the edge.


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